📊Gallup registers 37% presidential approval amid independent defection

Elections
Policy Analysis

President Trump's job approval rating fell to 37% in late July 2025, marking the lowest point of his second term according to Gallup polling released July 24. The decline stems from independent voters souring on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed July 4, which cut healthcare and nutrition programs to fund tax cuts. Trump's second-quarter average of 40% falls well below the 59% typical for presidents at this stage.

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Why This Matters

📉 Independent voters drive 15-point approval collapse since inauguration

The swing voters who decide elections have abandoned Trump faster than any president since Nixon during Watergate.

💔 Tax cuts for billionaires funded by food stamp cuts poison popularity

Trading nutrition assistance for corporate tax breaks makes concrete the choice between feeding kids or enriching donors.

📊 Sub-40% approval historically predicts midterm massacres

Presidents below 40% approval typically lose 50+ House seats, potentially flipping control to Democrats in 2026.

🗳️ Register voters now while Trump's weakness creates opportunities

Low presidential approval opens competitive races everywhere—check registration at vote.gov before state deadlines.

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What did the One Big Beautiful Bill Act do?

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Public Policy
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