Public Health Β· Government Β· Constitutional Law Β· Public PolicyΒ·May 1, 2026
Up to 30,000 Nebraskans could lose coverage through paperwork failures
On May 1, 2026, Nebraska became the first state in the country to enforce πMedicaid πwork requirements under the πOne Big Beautiful Bill Act, requiring expansion enrollees to log 80 hours per month of work, volunteering, or job training to keep their coverage. About 72,000 Nebraskans are subject to the new rules, eight months before other states face the law's January 2027 deadline. Analysts at the Urban Institute project between 16,000 and 30,000 Nebraskans will lose coverage by 2028, primarily through administrative failures β not because they stopped working.
The policy has a well-documented historical precedent. In 2018, Arkansas became the first state to implement πMedicaid πwork requirements under the first Trump administration's waiver approvals, and 18,000 people lost coverage in just seven months before a federal court halted the program. U.S. District Judge James Boasberg ruled the Arkansas waiver "πarbitrary and capricious" because CMS failed to address whether cutting coverage served πMedicaid's core objective. Research confirmed the program produced no measurable increase in employment.
Nebraska's implementation bypasses the traditional πSection 1115 waiver process by using a state plan amendment under statutory authority Congress created in the OBBBA. CMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz, confirmed by the Senate 53-45 on April 3, 2025, has positioned CMS to support rapid state-level implementation. With 43 states ultimately required to comply by 2027, Nebraska's rollout is the opening case study in what the CBO projects will remove coverage from 4.8 million people nationally.
Key facts
Nebraska launched πMedicaid πwork requirements on May 1, 2026, eight months before the January 2027 federal deadline set by the πOne Big Beautiful Bill Act. The state used a state plan amendment β not a πSection 1115 waiver β to implement the rules early, a path made available by Congress when it passed the OBBBA in 2025. About 72,000 Nebraskans covered through πMedicaid expansion are subject to the new requirements.
To keep coverage, enrollees ages 19-64 must document at least 80 hours per month of work, job training, volunteering, school attendance, or community service, or earn at least $580 per calendar month. Exemptions apply to pregnant women, people caring for children under 13 or disabled family members, and those with qualifying medical conditions β but enrollees must prove the exemption through a verification process Nebraska DHHS manages.
Nebraska Governor Jim Pillen announced the early implementation in December 2025, calling it a model for the nation. Nebraska DHHS Director Steve Corsi argued the state was "in a situation where we can be more nimble" because it owns its eligibility system and can verify about 72% of enrollees' work status automatically through state and federal databases.
Health advocates challenged that framing. Nebraska Appleseed, Families USA, and the Georgetown Center for Children and Families warned that the state gave enrollees insufficient notice, did not increase DHHS staffing to handle the new administrative load, and rushed implementation before CMS had issued full federal guidance to states.
The Urban Institute projects enrollment in Nebraska's πMedicaid expansion will decline by 16,000 to 30,000 people by 2028 due to the work requirement combined with a new provision requiring enrollees to redetermine eligibility every six months instead of annually. A separate Urban Institute analysis found that about 25,000 Nebraskans who qualified under the ACA expansion would lose coverage specifically from the work requirement.
Researchers at KFF found that roughly 65% of Nebraska πMedicaid adults without dependent children who are subject to the requirements are already working 80 or more hours per month or attending school. Coverage losses are projected to fall most heavily on people who are working but can't document it β not on people who are unemployed.
The Arkansas precedent is the only completed U.S. data point on πMedicaid πwork requirements at scale. Arkansas implemented requirements in June 2018 for adults ages 30-49 under the first Trump administration's πSection 1115 waiver approval. By April 2019, 18,000 Arkansans had lost coverage β about 25% of those subject to the requirement β in just seven months.
The coverage losses were driven primarily by the reporting system, not by people who were actually non-compliant. A Health Affairs study found that among those who lost coverage: 56% delayed care due to cost, 64% delayed taking medications, and 50% reported serious problems paying medical debt. Employment among the target population did not increase over 18 months of follow-up.
U.S. District Judge James Boasberg β an Obama appointee β halted Arkansas's program in March 2019, ruling CMS's approval 'πarbitrary and capricious' because the agency failed to consider 'whether and how the project would implicate the core objective of πMedicaid: the provision of medical coverage to the needy.' The D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals upheld that ruling in 2020.
The legal landscape shifted in 2025. Rather than relying on πSection 1115 waiver authority β the mechanism courts struck down β Congress embedded mandatory πwork requirements directly into statute through the OBBBA. That statutory grounding changes the legal analysis: states implementing πwork requirements under the OBBBA aren't acting on executive discretion subject to arbitrary-and-capricious review in the same way waiver approvals were.
The πSection 1115 waiver process has historically served as a proving ground for πMedicaid policy experiments. Under the Obama administration, CMS declined to approve work requirement waivers, concluding they "could undermine access to care and do not support the objectives of the program." During the first Trump term, CMS approved work requirement waivers in 13 of 22 states that applied β but courts blocked implementation in every state where it was challenged, including Kentucky and Arkansas in March 2019. President Biden reversed all approved work requirement waivers. The second Trump administration and Congress together addressed the legal vulnerability by moving from waiver authority to statutory mandate.
CMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz was confirmed by the Senate 53-45 on April 3, 2025, on a party-line vote. Before confirmation, Oz stated his support for πMedicaid πwork requirements at his confirmation hearing. Under Oz's leadership, CMS has simultaneously tightened most other πMedicaid waiver expansions while accelerating implementation of πwork requirements.
CMS operates with roughly 300 fewer staff than it had before the Trump administration's 2025 workforce reductions, leaving the agency to implement the most significant structural change to πMedicaid since the ACA expansion while operating with a diminished workforce.
The OBBBA mandates that all 43 states with πMedicaid expansion implement πwork requirements by January 1, 2027, with extensions available through December 31, 2028. The Congressional Budget Office projects the work requirement provision will reduce πMedicaid spending by $344 billion over 10 years and remove coverage from 4.8 million people.
Montana has announced it will begin enforcement on July 1, 2026; Iowa on December 1, 2026. At least seven states have pending Section 1115 waivers for πwork requirements that pre-date the OBBBA and remain under CMS review. Nebraska's implementation is the first live test of the new statutory framework's administrative machinery, exemption verification systems, and political durability.
Nebraska Appleseed and Families USA criticized the state's implementation timeline as rushed and inadequately resourced. DHHS confirmed it doesn't plan to hire additional staff to manage work requirement reporting or increased eligibility redeterminations.
The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities estimated that at least two-thirds of people who lose coverage nationally under πwork requirements will be workers or individuals who qualify for an exemption β people who lose coverage through the administrative process, not through actual non-compliance with the work standard.
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