2022 midterms Republicans fail to deliver predicted red wave

Democrats dramatically outperform historical midterm expectations in the November 8, 2022 elections, losing only 9 House seats compared to a historical average of 28 and predicted losses of 20-40. Democrats gain a Senate seat in Pennsylvania (John Fetterman defeats Dr. Oz) and hold Georgia in a December runoff (Raphael Warnock defeats Herschel Walker). Biden calls it "the most successful midterm for a Democratic president probably in history." Analysts attribute the results to Dobbs backlash, high youth turnout (second-highest midterm turnout since 1970), poor Republican candidate quality in swing states (Walker, Oz, Blake Masters), and strong "democracy on the ballot" messaging against election-denying candidates.