October 1, 2025

Senate deadlocks on ACA subsidies, 800,000 workers furloughed

Premiums to spike 75% as Senate blocks subsidy extension

On October 1, 2025, at 12:01 a.m.\n\nEDT, the government shut down after the Senate Democrats led by the Majority Leader Chuck Schumer blocked a seven-week clean continuing resolution that was passed by the House on September 19 because the Republicans refused to attach an extension of the enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits set to expire on December 31, 2025.\n\nThese credits lower premiums for about 22.4 million marketplace enrollees and cost an estimated $335 billion over the next decade according to the Congressional Budget Office scoring.\n\nWithout renewal, average out-of-pocket premiums will rise more than 75% in 2026, pricing out an estimated 4 million people and potentially driving a 114% spike in some rural areas.\n\nThe Senate Republicans, holding 49 seats, would need at least 11 Democratic votes to overcome the 60-vote filibuster threshold.\n\nThe shutdown furloughed approximately 803,000 federal employees and forced 700,000 to work without pay, while WIC—which serves over 6 million women, infants, and children—relies on just $150 million in USDA contingency funds that will run out in under two weeks.

The federal government shut down on October 1, 2025 at 12:01 AM after the Senate failed to pass a funding bill before the September 30 fiscal year deadline. The shutdown affects approximately 800,000 federal employees who are either furloughed without pay or required to work as essential personnel without immediate paychecks.

Senate Democrats demand that enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium subsidies be extended immediately, while Republicans want to negotiate the extension later. The subsidies helped 24 million people afford health insurance in 2025 and cost an estimated $350 billion over 10 years according to Congressional Budget Office (CBO) scoring.

Without the subsidy extension, premiums will increase by 75% on average in 2026, pricing out approximately 4 million people from coverage. The subsidies cap premiums at 8.5% of income for marketplace enrollees. A family of four earning $100,000 would see premiums jump from $750 to $1,150 monthly without the extension.

The Senate needs 60 votes to pass funding under filibuster rules, requiring at least 7 Democrats to join Republicans on any bill. Democrats have remained unified in blocking Republican proposals that don't include the ACA subsidy extension, giving them effective veto power over any Senate legislation.

Republicans propose a 7-week clean continuing resolution funding the government through November 21. The bill includes basic funding and $58 million for security after Charlie Kirk's assassination but excludes any policy additions. GOP leaders argue healthcare subsidies should be negotiated separately after the shutdown ends.

Approximately 800,000 federal workers are furloughed without pay, while another 700,000 are working without immediate payment. Essential personnel including military members, TSA agents, air traffic controllers, and Border Patrol agents must report to work unpaid.

The Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) serving 7 million women and children faces a funding shortfall. The USDA allocated $150 million in emergency funds, but the money will run out in under two weeks if the shutdown continues. WIC provides nutrition assistance to low-income pregnant women, new mothers, and young children.

The last government shutdown in 2018-2019 lasted 35 days and cost the economy $11 billion according to CBO estimates. That shutdown permanently reduced GDP by $3 billion as economic activity was permanently lost. Federal contractors faced $2 billion in losses and weren't guaranteed back pay unlike federal employees.

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What You Can Do

1

Contact your senators before next shutdown vote demanding they extend ACA subsidies to prevent 75% premium increases using Senate phone directory at senate.gov/senators

2

Submit comment to Senate Finance Committee on ACA subsidy extension at finance.senate.gov/contact before October 15 deadline

3

Check if your health insurance uses enhanced ACA subsidies at healthcare.gov/see-plans and calculate 2026 premium increase at KFF.org/subsidy-calculator

4

Attend town hall meetings during congressional recess week of October 7-13 to demand representatives negotiate in good faith