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September 7, 2025

Japanese prime minister resigns after July election losses as U.S.-Japan trade and defense ties face uncertainty

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Political upheaval risks decades of Pacific security cooperation

Prime Minister Shigeru IshibaShigeru Ishiba announced his resignation on September 7, 2025, after his LDP-led coalition lost its majority in the House of Councillors on July 21, 2025, leaving the government without a Diet majority for the first time since the party's founding in 1955.

Bilateral U.S.-Japan trade totaled about $321.6 billion in 2024, according to BEA compilations, and Japan ranked among the top six U.S. trading partners that year rather than fourth.

The United States maintains roughly 53,600 active-duty military personnel assigned to Japan (official DoD personnel accounting), concentrated on Okinawa and key naval and air bases.

A U.S.-Japan trade framework announced July 22–23, 2025 includes an announced $550 billion Japanese investment initiative and sets a baseline reciprocal tariff of about 15% on many Japanese imports; it did not abolish all auto duties.

Japan had adopted a policy to raise defense-related spending toward 2% of GDP by fiscal 2027. The target predates Ishiba's tenure and the timetable has been discussed publicly by multiple administrations.

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What you can do

1

civic action

Demand State Department maintain diplomatic continuity with Tokyo after PM Ishiba resigned Sept. 7, 2025 following LDP election defeats

Call the State Department public affairs desk and request sustained, high-level engagement to reassure alliance partners and clarify defense cooperation timelines.

2

civic action

Request congressional oversight on alliance implications

Contact the House Foreign Affairs Committee to urge hearings on how Japanese political change affects base access, force posture, and joint contingency planning.

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3

learning more

Monitor defense and trade commitments using official trackers

Track the White House fact sheets, DoD personnel reports, and the U.S. Trade Representative updates for formal changes to tariffs or base access arrangements.

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