Trump threatens to fire Fed Chair Powell after rates stay unchanged

On Jun. 12, 2025, President Trump called Fed Chair Jerome Powell a 'numbskull' during a White House bill signing, demanding a two-percentage-point rate cut that he claimed would save $600 billion annually. Vice President JVJD Vance the day before had accused the Fed of 'monetary malpractice' for not cutting rates.

The Federal Reserve Act Section 10 states governors can be removed only 'for cause' - meaning misconduct, neglect of duty, or malfeasance - not policy disagreements. The Supreme Court's 1935 Humphrey's Executor ruling confirmed Congress can protect independent agency officials from at-will presidential removal.

On Apr. 21-22, 2025, when Trump called Powell 'a major loser' and threatened termination, the dollar fell to its lowest level since Mar. 2022 (ICE Dollar Index at 97.92), 30-year Treasury yields spiked 10 basis points to 4.9%, and gold hit record highs above $3,480 per ounce.

Treasury Secretary SBScott Bessent privately warned Trump that firing Powell would 'destabilize investor confidence and ignite legal battles.' Bessent, a former hedge fund manager, told Trump the move could trigger 'the most dramatic rush to the exit from US assets that it is possible to imagine.'

The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Jan. 21, 2026 in Trump v. Cook, after Trump fired Fed Governor Lisa Cook citing mortgage fraud allegations. Justice BKBrett Kavanaugh warned that allowing at-will removal could 'weaken, if not shatter, the independence of the Federal Reserve.'

Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair expires in May 2026, while his term as a Board member runs through Jan. 2028. Powell called the Lisa Cook case 'perhaps the most important legal case in the Fed's 113-year history.'

Congress created the Federal Reserve on Dec. 23, 1913, under President Woodrow Wilson, specifically to insulate monetary policy from short-term political pressure. The 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks were designed to diminish Wall Street's influence and prevent any single political actor from controlling the money supply.